Vista Gold Valuation

VGZ Stock  USD 2.49  0.14  5.32%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be undervalued. Vista Gold has a current Real Value of $3.09 per share. The regular price of the company is $2.49. Our model measures the value of Vista Gold from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Owned By Institutions of 19.31 %, return on equity of -0.44, and Shares Outstanding of 126.21 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Vista Gold's valuation include:
Price Book
22.6465
Enterprise Value
265.2 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(9.40)
Forward PE
6.7476
Undervalued
Today
2.49
Please note that Vista Gold's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Vista Gold is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Vista Gold's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Vista Gold is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vista Stock. However, Vista Gold's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.49 Real  3.09 Target  5.0 Hype  2.45 Naive  2.35
The intrinsic value of Vista Gold's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vista Gold's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
3.09
Real Value
9.40
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vista Gold helps investors to forecast how Vista stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vista Gold more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vista Gold's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.01-0.01-0.01
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.458.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.358.66
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.555.005.55
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Vista Gold's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Vista Gold's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Vista Gold's closest peers.

Vista Gold Cash

10.83 Million

Vista Gold Total Value Analysis

Vista Gold is at this time forecasted to have company total value of 265.21 M with market capitalization of 331.93 M, debt of 1.07 M, and cash on hands of 16.95 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Vista Gold fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
265.21 M
331.93 M
1.07 M
16.95 M

Vista Gold Asset Utilization

One of the ways to look at asset utilization of Vista is to check how much profit was generated for every dollar of assets it reports. Vista Gold has a negative utilization of assets of -0.32 %, losing $0.00325 for each dollar of assets held by the company. Inadequate asset utilization indicates the company is being less effective with each dollar of assets it has. In other words, asset utilization of Vista Gold shows how discouraging it operates for each dollar spent on its assets.
 
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Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vista Gold Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Vista Gold's financial statements, Vista Gold's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average likelihood of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Vista Gold's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
-2.4 M
Current Value
-723 K
Quarterly Volatility
7.8 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Gross Profit is likely to rise to about (47 K) in 2026. Pretax Profit Margin is likely to rise to -28.74 in 2026
For Vista Gold profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Vista Gold to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Vista Gold utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Vista Gold's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Vista Gold over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Vista Gold Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Vista Gold is estimated to be -0.0125 with future projections ranging from a low of -0.0125 to a high of -0.0125. Vista Gold's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.07. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Vista Gold is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Vista Gold is projected to generate -0.0125 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Vista Gold earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Vista Gold EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Vista Gold's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Vista Gold, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Vista Gold Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Vista Gold's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Vista Gold is estimated to be -0.0125 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.0125 to a high of -0.0125. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Vista Gold is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
-0.01
Lowest
Expected EPS
-0.0125
-0.01
Highest

Vista Gold Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Vista Gold's value are higher than the current market price of the Vista Gold stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Vista Gold is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Vista Gold's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
10.0%
0.0
-0.0125
-0.07

Vista Gold Ownership Allocation

Vista Gold shows a total of 126.21 Million outstanding shares. About 77.94 % of Vista Gold outstanding shares are held by general public with 2.75 (%) owned by insiders and only 19.31 % by institutional holders. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Vista Gold Profitability Analysis

Total Income to common stockholders was 10.71 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0.

About Vista Gold Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Vista Gold. We calculate exposure to Vista Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Vista Gold's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit-49.5 K-47 K
Pretax Profit Margin(30.26)(28.74)
Operating Profit Margin(34.55)(36.28)
Net Loss(30.26)(28.74)
Gross Profit Margin(0.95)(0.91)

Vista Gold Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122.2 M
Forward Price Earnings6.7476

Vista Gold Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Vista Gold and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Vista we look at many different elements of the entity such as Vista's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Vista Gold, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Vista Gold's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Vista Gold's worth.

Additional Tools for Vista Stock Analysis

When running Vista Gold's price analysis, check to measure Vista Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vista Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Vista Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vista Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vista Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vista Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.